Data:
Monday:
- No real impactful data
Tuesday:
- EUR ZEW Economic Sentiment: exp. 26.5 vs.21.0
- EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment: exp. 20.4 vs. 22.3
Wednesday:
- USD JOLTS Job Openings: exp. 10.95M vs. 10.44M
- USD FOMC Member Clarida & Bostic Speaks
- USD CPI m/m: exp. 0.3% vs. 0.4%
- USD Core CPI m/m: 0.2% vs. 0.2%
- CNY Prelim ANZ Business Confidence: prev. -7.2 vs.-8.6
- CNY Trade Balance: exp. 185B vs. 433B
Thursday:
- USD FOMC Meeting Minutes
- AUD Employment Change: exp. -135.0K vs. -138.0K
- AUD Unemployment Rate: exp. 4.8% vs. 4.6%
- USD PPI /m/: exp. 0.4% vs. 0.5%
- USD Core PPI m/m: exp. 0.6% vs. 0.2%
- USD Unemployment Claims: exp. 315K vs. 293K
Friday:
- USD FOMC Member Barkin Speaks
- USD Core Retail Sales m/m: exp. 0.5%
- USD Retail Sales m/m: exp. -0.3%
Saturday:
- Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment: exp. 73.5
Sunday:
- FOMC Member Williams Speaks
AUDUSD Day’s Range: 0.73235 – 0.74268
The Australian employment was better than the market expectation, with full-time employment rising 26,700 in September and the unemployment rate dropping to 4.6%, 0.2 points less than the market forecast. AUDUSD advanced after the release of the labour report but was unable to hold its gain when the Chinese inflation data came out.
China’s September inflation rose to a record high on rising commodity prices, but consumer inflation was capped by the weak demand. The PPI rose 10.7% from September 2020, the biggest rise since 1996. The price rose in 36 out of 40 industrial sectors last month with prices in mining and coal sectors jumping a massive 74.9%. The Chinese Consumer Index rose 0.7% from 12 months ago, slowing down from the 0.8% rise in August.
Moving to the U.S, the employment change was better than initially thought (U.S. Unemployment Claims: exp. 315K vs. 293K) providing support for the Fed to reduce its monthly bond purchas. However, the policymakers remain divided.
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AUDUSD Daily Chart:
Major moves in the market:
Stocks
- The S&P 500 rose 1.71%, closed at 4438.26
- The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.20%, closed at 15067.75
- S&P/ASX 200 increased 0.57%, closed at 7311.70
Currencies
- The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
- The euro was at $1.1598
- The Japanese yen was at 113.68 per dollar
- The offshore yuan was at 6.4370 per dollar
Bonds
- The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined about three basis points to 1.51%
Commodities
- Brent crude oil was at USD/Bbl 84.16
- Gold was at USD/OZ 1795.88
- Iron ore was at USD/T 122.83